Why Newcastle Could Face a Tougher Relegation Battle Next Season
Posted on July 28th, 2021 | 21 Comments |
FULL-TIME Fulham 0-2 Newcastle
Joe Willock scores in his 7th successive #PL match, and Fabian Schar nets a late penalty to give Newcastle the points#FULNEW pic.twitter.com/tE8cwF9PIQ
— Premier League (@premierleague) May 23, 2021
A Late Run of Form Papered Over Cracks
The Toon’s late rally that propelled them clear of the danger was remarkable considering where they were in March. With 27 games played, they were just a point ahead of 18th-ranked Fulham in the table and had won just two of their last 16 games. The Cottagers were showing good form, having conceded just seven goals in 10 games, compared to 17 in the same period for Steve Bruce’s men.
At the time, Fulham were being hailed as a great battling side who were on course for survival, while Newcastle looked to be on a downward trajectory. The club had just played out two uninspiring draws at home to Wolves and away to West Bromwich Albion that gave fans little hope. Yet, those games proved to be the catalyst for a run that no one saw coming.
Newcastle’s last 13 games featured five wins, five draws and just three defeats, yielding 20 points at over 1.5 points per game. Over their previous 25 games, that ratio stood at just 1 point per game. In contrast, Fulham’s 1-0 win over Liverpool at Anfield in March that moved them to within a point of Steve Bruce’s team proved to be their last triumph of the campaign as they added just two more points to their tally. While Newcastle’s late run of form was welcome, for many, it papered over the cracks of a mostly uninspiring season which exposed the club’s lack of strength in depth.
Transfer Window Could Hand Advantage to Rivals
While many fans would rather see the back of Steve Bruce, he looks set to be staying for the foreseeable future. With a tight budget (estimated at £10m) and a youth-only transfer policy, it looks set to be a tough summer and pre-season for the Geordie boss.
⏱ Our opening pre-season friendly ends in defeat.
⚫️⚪️ pic.twitter.com/NNq01DjNkJ
— Newcastle United FC (@NUFC) July 18, 2021
The latest odds on football betting sites like Space Casino suggest that there are five teams more likely to be relegated than Newcastle: The three promoted sides (Norwich, Watford and Brentford) plus Crystal Palace and Burnley. Of the newcomers, Brentford have already spent £9m on one player, having signed Frank Onyeka from FC Midtjylland with more incomings expected. Norwich have splashed out over £35m and haven’t finished yet, while Watford’s summer spending has already hit £14m and is expected to rise.
Meanwhile, new Crystal Palace boss, Patrick Viera, has already run up a £30m bill and Sean Dyche is thought to have a boosted transfer budget courtesy of Burnley’s new owners with £12m already spent on Stoke’s Nathan Collins.
With the teams around them investing, The Toon Army look to be at a serious disadvantage and it’s highly likely they’ll face an even tougher relegation battle this time around. While a repeat of last season’s 12th-place finish would have to rank as a major success under the circumstances.
Chuck, you picked a very odd post to write your comment in, so I’m replying here.
I’m guessing Ashley expects us to be relegated every once in a while. That’s the only way his minimum-spend, risk-taking method can work. He might be relying on getting lucky maybe 8/10 seasons and suffering a relegation at times. He is after all a renowned gambler.
You can’t expect NUFC to behave like a normal club and have a bit more ambition that just trying to stay in the PL. Ashley’s not interested in the club and wants out, and in the interim he’s probably figured out it’s cheaper to get relegated once in a while. He’ll then use the parachute payments and (maybe) a bit of his own money to try and bounce straight back.
He might get lucky this coming season. If all our first team players avoid injury for most of the season we might have enough to survive. But if he’s unlucky he’ll just try to bounce us back after relegation – we’ve done it twice already.
It’s not much fun for supporters of such a club, but Ashley won’t care about that.