Why Newcastle United’s last two games will be important
Posted on April 27th, 2017 | 20 Comments |
While Chris Hughton’s Seagulls wrapped up their promotion bid early, The Magpies seemed intent on putting their fans through as much anguish as possible (a familiar feeling some Geordies might say). However, Rafa Benitez’s men can be thankful for the equally dreadful form of Huddersfield making their automatic promotion bid much easier than it could have been. Of course, that poor run was stopped against Preston last Monday evening, and Newcastle now have a chance to continue making a statement of intent in their final two games.
A win over Cardiff at the Cardiff City Stadium would keep up the momentum before Newcastle United bid farewell to the Championship once again with their final game at home against Barnsley. Besides giving confidence to the team before they face a much tougher task next season, the fans deserve something to cheer about as they have packed the stadium week in, week out, despite unglamorous opposition turning up. Until Monday night, they have been rewarded with unexciting home form as Newcastle have just the sixth best home record in the league.
Last time Newcastle were relegated they surged back up to the top flight in a blaze of glory. Under Chris Hughton, they finished the 2009-10 campaign with 102 points, leaving them 11 ahead of second-placed West Brom and 23 ahead of third-placed Nottingham Forest. This season Hughton has inspired Brighton to become the leader of the pack, leaving Benitez – a Champions League winner, no less, playing second fiddle with a considerably more expensive squad. 88 points from 44 games would usually be excellent, but for a club of Newcastle’s stature, with one of Europe’s top managers, some might say they should be well clear at the top of the table and looking to break the 100 point barrier like last time. Then again, so should Aston Villa and look at them! Getting back to Newcastle though, they only had three players in the PFA Championship Team of the Year – Dwight Gayle, Jonjo Shelvey and Jerome Lascelles – compared to four from Brighton. In summary, they got the job done but have been slightly underwhelming. It has been their home form which has let them down as they have the best away record in the league. That is cause for concern going into the Premiership as they need to make St James’ Park a fortress once again. The least they can do is beat Barnsley in their last home game of the season, ahead of next season’s visits of Chelsea, Man City et al.
First though, the Magpies must face the ‘Bluebirds’ of Cardiff City tomorrow evening, and their manager Neil Warnock, who will no doubt have something to say as usual! Cardiff lie pretty much in the middle of the Championship table, in 13th out of 24 at the time of writing. Then again, the opposition’s position in the table hasn’t been a sure guide to who can triumph against the Toon. If we only think back a couple of games to Ipswich (16th), they certainly taught Newcastle a salutary lesson in complacency with their 3-1 victory. Looking further back, relegation battlers Nottingham Forest (20th) did likewise. From the other side, Newcastle beat the aforementioned, table topping Brighton home and away.
Looking at the obvious for guidance, our last game against Cardiff was a narrow 2-1 victory at St James’ Park back on November 5th. So in summary, Newcastle are very good away, but teams much further down the table like Cardiff may well have a chance if the Magpies have one of their off days.
Like Newcastle, Barnsley are another team that has struggled at home: Divide the table into home and away and they are 18th at home and 7th away. That has left them one place behind the aforementioned Cardiff in 14th. They are well clear of the relegation zone and have nothing left to play for, but they still represent dangerous opposition. But they have lost 10 of 21 on the road, and Newcastle really should be winning games like this. Now is the time for them to start to shine, and it might be worth backing them to do so. Review free bets here and you will see that Newcastle are the favourites, but you can get more value if you go Newcastle -1 Asian handicap, so you win if they win by two goals or more and get your stake back if they only win by a single goal. This is a game the Magpies should win by two clear goals. The likes of Gayle, Shelvey and Matt Richie should have little to fear from Barnsley’s limited defence and should be able to score a few.
In conclusion, Newcastle beat Barnsley 2-0 when these two met earlier in the season, with Gayle notching both goals, and the fans will demand a similar result and level of performance here. Barnsley are gritty and up for a fight, but limited technically and not great passers of the ball, so Newcastle’s superior quality should shine through.
So, it should be an exciting climax to the season on Sunday with Brighton against Aston Villa and Us against Burnley for the trophy. Brighton are still in the driving seat but even if we win, it’s hard to get too excited until we know what happens with the ‘French Connection’ tax thing and what sanctions might come out of it in the future. If the Conservatives can get away with election fraud for years though, maybe Newcastle United can get away with a few ‘alternative facts’ in their tax returns as well?
As I wrote in here, I wasn’t a huge fan of the Shearer sculpture, though some might say it’s quite appropriate that it looks lifeless and wooden. However, that Ronaldo one at Madeira airport makes it look like Michelangelo’s ‘David!’